Main concern of this paper is focused upon the subject of the global long-term politico-cultural cycle, medium-term techno-managerial cycle and a forecast of the international financial center in the 21st century.
The first section deals with the social science approach. Social science is abstract science, while natural science is exact science. Therefore, social science is based on probability, while natural science is based on certainty.
The second section seeks two major social science methodologies, i.e., 100 years long term politico-cultural cycle and 50 years medium-term techno-managerial cycle. Presently, Pax Americana is prevailing from 1914 and probably ends up one cycle around year 2014. The 4th techno-managerial cycle, based on petrochemicals, electronics, computerization, internet, jet mass transportation, etc., started from 1945 and will end up around 2000. Our main concern is which technological development will lead the 5th techno-managerial cycle from the turn of the century. New paradigm will be led by bio- chemical, DNA, new ceramics, superconductivity, etc. from 2000 to 2050.
