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[2017년 제 2차] Value or Growth? The Pricing of Idiosyncratic Cash-Flow Risk with Heterogeneous Beliefs

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We study a continuous-time pure exchange economy where idiosyncratic cash flow risks are priced via investors’ heterogeneous beliefs. Investors perceive idiosyncratic cash flow risks differently through heterogeneous subjective mean growth rates on a firm’s cash flow. This impacts equilibrium quantities. Our model shows that idiosyncratic cash flow shocks priced through belief differences can explain cross-sectional variations in stock returns and cash flows. Quantitative results show that a value premium arises, as value stocks have higher idiosyncratic cash-flow volatilities, lower average cash flows, and higher belief differences, which is empirically supported. A growth premium prevails without belief differences.

Keywords: idiosyncratic cash-flow risk, heterogeneous beliefs, general equilibrium, crosssection of stock returns, habit formation, the value premium.
JEL classification: G00, G02, G10, G11, G12
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4분과-투자론1-2_장호규.pdf
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