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[2017년 제 4차] Disagreement and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns

작성자 : 관리자
조회수 : 237

This paper studies the role of heterogeneous beliefs about a non-fundamental process, which is independent of the aggregate consumption risk, in explaining the cross-section of expected returns. In the model, trading on the non-fundamental process results in redistribution of wealth and consumption along the path of the non-fundamental process. In equilibrium, a consumption-weighted sentiment determines the price of risk of the non-fundamental process, and this measure serves as a conditioning variable for tests of the cross-section. To test the model-based predictions, I develop a novel approach that exploits the close link between the cross-sectional heterogeneity in consumption and heterogeneous beliefs to identify such non-fundamental process. I find that the factor model has a significant ability to explain the cross-section of expected returns, and pessimism is associated with a high market price of risk.

 

Keywords: Disagreement, heterogeneous beliefs, consumption asset pricing, cross-section of equity returns

JEL classification: G10, G12, G13, E21 

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13-2_Disagreement_and_the_Cross-Section_of_Expected_Returns(A4).pdf
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